KelliPundit

Monday, December 13, 2004

Addressing Reality


Here's a link to more Dems providing other Dems analysis on the past election so that they may start work on winning elections again. But here's the part I thought to be noteworthy:
Analysts who believe changing demographics will lead to a new Democratic majority should take a careful look at this election. According to that theory, women and the increasing number of minority voters will lead to an emerging Democratic majority. In this election, the percentages of women and minorities in the electorate indeed increased. But President Bush made significant gains among both groups. He won white women by 11 percentage points, 10 points more than his 2000 margin. Among Hispanics, Bush cut a 27-point deficit in 2000 to just 9 points this time. In the critical battleground state of Ohio, Bush secured his victory by winning 16 percent of the African-American vote, nearly double what he won in 2000.

We got out our base, but our base is not what it once was. The biggest blow in this election is how badly we lost the middle class.

It's no surprise for Democrats to lose white men and evangelicals. But in this election, we also lost white women, married people, couples with children, high school graduates, college graduates, people over 30, and, by our estimate, voters in every annual household income category above $40,000. Our coalition consisted of high school dropouts (though we won them by only 1 point) and those with postgraduate educations. That coalition is not the foundation for building a durable Democratic majority.
These are the groups I belonged to that went for Bush: "white women, married people, couples with children, high school graduates, college graduates, people over 30, and, by our estimate, voters in every annual household income category above $40,000. I also belong to the 'evangelical vote' and the 'post graduate education' group. Guess that means Kerry lost my vote on almost every level possible.